The dogs slept through the first round of the NFL playoffs. Favorites went 5-1 ATS in the wild-card round with the 49ers as the sole underdog to cover the spread. Just like we have seen all season, they won outright as +155 underdogs as well. I recommended a play on both the 49ers and Raiders moneyline and came within one play of cashing them both — no thanks to Derek Carr.
As we move on to the divisional round, I was able to find value on two underdogs. I like our odds that the dogs will bark back this week, considering that the games are so evenly matched with each team’s season on the line. What are the chances favorites will cover the majority of games for the second consecutive week? I’m betting at least two dogs will come through for this.
All lines from BetMGM.
Buffalo (+105 ML) at Kansas City
If the Bills proved one thing this season, it’s that they are unstoppable when firing on all cylinders. Buffalo recorded the best offensive performance of the year in a 47-17 demolition of Bill Belichick’s defense last Saturday night. For the second consecutive season, the Kansas City Chiefs stand in the way of Josh Allen’s path to the Super Bowl. The Bills already walked into Arrowhead Stadium this season and dominated the Chiefs, 38-20. Here is why I think they can do it a second time.
The Bills’ offense outgained the Chiefs by more than three full yards per play (8.1 to 5.0) in their previous meeting. They are more than capable of scoring on a Kansas City defense that ended the regular season by allowing 475 yards to Cincinnati and 6.7 yards per play to a Broncos offense led by Drew Lock. Patrick Mahomes will be the one that has to keep up against a defense that ranks No. 1 in pass defense and overall DVOA.
Josh Allen and the Bills will be tough to stop in the NFL playoffs. (AP Photo/ Jeffrey T. Barnes)
The Kansas City offense is statistically dominant but has uncharacteristically struggled when Mahomes has to rely on anyone besides Tyreek Hill and Travis Kelce. We…