We’ve drifted back into the weird zone of big faves, an uncomfortable spot when you’re trying to pick winners of football games. If we’re talking about an NFL week with multiple games above seven points AND multiple games above 10 points, well, it’s going to be hard to bet.
Take Jags-Rams or Bucs-Falcons as an example. We have two objectively terrible teams against two subjectively good teams. The spread in both games is double digits, so unless you think Jacksonville or Atlanta are better (you don’t and if you do you’re lying), you’re basically relying on luck at the end of the game.
Of course weird things happen — the Jags took down Buffalo while scoring nine points. The Titans have four losses and two of them are to the Jets and Texans. I’m not saying giant upsets can’t happen or bad teams can’t hang with good teams. My point is just trying to pick a week with a ton of huge spreads is kind of an exercise in futility.
We’re not quite at the point where teams will roll over, although we’re getting close. Week 13 can provide plenty of chaos — and speaking of chaos have you watched South Park’s new special on Paramount+ (click here) because if not you should — and it feels like a dangerous week to be heavy on chalk.
All NFL odds are via Caesars Sportsbook
NFL Week 13 Picks
Thursday, 8:20 p.m. ET
TV: Fox/NFL Network | Stream: fuboTV (click here)
Follow: CBS Sports App
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