Western Kentucky Hilltoppers Football — Analyzing WKU at UTSA

Day: Friday, December 3, 2021

Time: 6:00PM CST

Location: Alamodome

Network: CBS Sports Network

Betting line: WKU -3.5 | O/U: 73.0

History: This will be the third meeting between WKU and UTSA with the series split 1-1. The Roadrunners defeated the Hilltoppers in October by a score of 52-46.


Through twelve games, WKU’s Bailey Zappe has completed 406-of-580 pass attempts (70.0%) for 4,968 yards, 414.0 yards per game, 8.6 yards per pass attempt, and 52 touchdowns as well as 9 interceptions. He ranks #1 in total passing yards, #1 in passing yards per game, #7 in completion percentage, #1 in passing touchdowns, and has the sixth-best passer rating in the nation. Zappe leads all of Conference USA’s statistical passing categories. Of passers with at least 25 deep pass attempts, he ranks #2 in PFF’s Highest passing grades on deep pass attempts (96.7).

Against Marshall, Zappe (as well as the entire offense) had an uncharacteristically slow and unproductive start. But Zappe came out of halftime on fire and didn’t look back. On the day, Zappe went 25-of-48 (52.1%) for 328 yards, 6.8 yards per pass attempt, and 4 touchdowns.

WKU’s passing game has a success rate of 53.8%, EPA/Pass of 0.264, PPA of 0.48, and explosiveness of 1.5.

Frank Harris leads the Roadrunners having completed 222-of-334 pass attempts (66.47%) for 2,688 yards, 224.0 yards per game, 8.0 yards per pass attempt, and 23 touchdowns as well as 5 interceptions. But what makes Harris dangerous, as WKU has experienced before, is his ability to make plays with his legs. He is the second leading rusher on the team with 94 carries for 484 yards, 40.33 yards per game, 5.1 yards per carry, and 5 touchdowns. During UTSA’s loss to North Texas, Harris completed 7-of-14 (50.0%) pass attempts for 59 yards, 4.2 yards per carry, and no passing touchdowns; he added 10 carries for 97 yards, 9.7 yards per carry, and 1 rushing touchdown. However, after 3 fumbles, 1 lost fumble, and 1 sack, Harris sat out the second-half…


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