Western Kentucky Hilltoppers Football — Analyzing WKU at Marshall

Day: Saturday, November 27

Time: 2:30PM CST

Location: Joan C. Edwards Stadium

Network: CBS Sports Network

Betting line: Marshall -1.0 | O/U: 74.5

History: This will be the thirteenth meeting between WKU and Marshall with the Herd leading the series 8-4. Marshall has won the last four games in the series.


Through eleven games, WKU’s Bailey Zappe has completed 381-of-532 pass attempts (71.62%) for 4,640 yards, 421.82 yards per game, 8.7 yards per pass attempt, and 48 touchdowns as well as 9 interceptions. He ranks #1 in total passing yards, #1 in passing yards per game, #7 in completion percentage, #1 in passing touchdowns, and has the sixth-best passer rating in the nation. Zappe leads all of Conference USA’s statistical passing categories. Of passers with at least 26 [deep pass] attempts, he ranks #1 in PFF’s Highest passing grades on deep pass attempts (96.9).

Against FAU, Zappe went 39-of-49 (79.5%) for 470 yards, 9.6 yards per pass attempt, and 6 touchdowns as well as 1 interception and 1 pick six.

WKU’s passing game has a success rate of 53.7%, EPA/Pass of 0.291, PPA of 0.5, and explosiveness of 1.5.

Grant Wells leads the Herd having completed 270-of-404 pass attempts (66.8%) for 3,360 yards, 305.5 yards per game, 8.3 yards per pass attempt, and 15 touchdowns as well as 12 interceptions. He adds 53 carries for 61 yards, 1.2 yards per carry, and 6 rushing touchdowns. In Marshall’s win at Charlotte, Wells went 21-of-28 (75.0%) for 267 yards, 9.5 yards per pass attempt, and threw for 2 touchdowns.

Marshall’s passing game has a success rate of 48.1%, EPA/Pass of 0.052, PPA of 0.3, and explosiveness of 1.4.

Wells is a good, young player, but he can make questionable decisions at times. He leads the conference in thrown picks (12). Zappe has been commanding the offense and chasing records since Game 1.

Advantage: WKU


WKU’s receiver corps now has two 1,000+ yard receivers: Jerreth Sterns and Mitchell Tinsley. Sterns ranks #1 nationally in total yards…


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