Patriots and Cowboys will fight for you in Week 12

Tennessee’s 22-13 home loss to the Texans marked the fourth week in a row that the most popular survivor pool pick went down in flames. Nearly half of all remaining entries were knocked out, leaving only a minuscule percentage that have survived through 11 weeks of NFL action. If you’re still alive, grab a wishbone during Thanksgiving dinner, because this is going to be a tough weekend.

Before we dive into this week’s picks, let’s look back at how we did last week:

Week 11 picks

Best Bets: 1-0 (YTD: 15-5)

Leans: 2-0 (YTD: 11-2)

Traps to avoid: 1 elimination avoided (YTD: 10)

On to the Week 12 picks!

All lines from BetMGM.

BEST BETS

These aren’t your mother’s Titans. These aren’t even your slightly older twin brother’s Titans. After losing multiple key players to injured reserve throughout the season, Tennessee enters this contest with ten starters listed as questionable to play, including wide receiver A.J. Brown. New England ranks second in defensive DVOA, so I have a hard time seeing how Dontrell Hilliard, Chester Rogers, and Nick Westbrook-Ikhine are going to beat Bill Belichick. The Patriots have held the last four quarterbacks they’ve faced under 225 passing yards and have surrendered an average of 10 points per game during their five-game win streak. The Titans’ strength as of late has been the pressure their front seven has been able to generate, but that’s nullified by an outstanding New England offensive line consistently giving Mac Jones time to throw and creating massive running lanes to the tune of 156.3 rushing yards per game during the month of November. 

New England is the second-biggest favorite this week, yet they’re only the seventh-most popular pick in survivor pools, at just under 5%. Their future value lies in a Week 17 home game versus the Jags. You’re in the driver’s seat if you have them left to use, so park your car in Harvard Yard and park your entries on the Pats.

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