We’re less than a day into the new year and I’m already 0 for three on resolutions. Hopefully, this week’s player props will turn out better. Here’s what I’ll be playing on BetMGM tomorrow:
Miami’s young penguin-aping phenom is six catches shy of breaking the single season reception record for a rookie. Since Tua Tagovailoa returned under center as a starter, Waddle is commanding a 32.1% target share. The Dolphins work around their atrocious offensive line by employing a quick-passing offense that flows through Waddle, who is PFF’s fifth-highest graded receiver since Week 6. He’s gone over this number in each of his last four games, hauling in an average of nine balls per contest. Tennessee gives up the most receptions per game to wide receivers. An added bonus for this prop is that you’ll be completely justified in doing the Waddle dance when it hits. I’ll even Venmo 20 bucks to the first person who tweets a video of themselves doing the dance and tags me on Twitter when the prop cashes.
That’s right, we’re taking the over on rushing yards for a wide receiver. Samuel is one of the most electric weapons in the NFL and the Niners have seen fit to deploy him all over the field since the middle of November. Rookie QB Trey Lance is likely to start in place of an injured Jimmy Garoppolo, which means we’ll probably see San Francisco rely on their run game even more against a Texans squad that gives up more rushing yards per game to backfields than any other team. Samuel has hit this prop in each of his last six outings, averaging 6.3 carries and 46.5 rushing yards per game.
San Francisco 49ers wide receiver Deebo Samuel has rushed for at least 29 yards in six straight games. (Katie Stratman/USA TODAY Sports)
Tyler Higbee over 32.5 receiving yards
If you drafted Higbee as your TE1 in fantasy football this year, we have a support group that meets on Tuesday nights and we just want you to know that it’s not your fault. We thought he would be a Porsche 911 and he ended up…