I’m not sure who came up with the idea of playing a Week 18, but whoever it was needs to immediately be promoted to commissioner of the NFL because Week 18 turned out to be the best football idea of all-time.
The final week of the NFL season turned out to be the craziest week of the NFL season and I’m pretty sure everyone would agree with that, except for maybe Colts and Chargers fans, who are too depressed to agree or disagree with anything today.
With Week 18 in the books, that means it’s now time for the postseason, and up first, we have the playoff round that I love to hate: The wild-card round. I love watching it, but I hate trying to predict it, because it always gets crazy, and I’m not talking a little crazy, I’m talking “Up is right, left is north, green is a sound,” crazy.
Just to give you an idea of how crazy things can get during the first weekend of the playoffs, just consider this: Underdogs have gone 15-3 against the spread since 2017, including 4-2 last season, which clearly means I should take every underdog to cover this week.
You can also throw home-field advantage out the window: Home teams are 4-10 straight-up in the wild-card round over the past three years, which means I should obviously pick every road team to win this week.
And if that’s not confusing enough, we have FIVE quarterbacks making their first career playoff start, which is definitely not a good thing. Since 2002, quarterbacks making their first career playoff start in the wild-card round are 11-31 straight-up, which I think means I have to pick against Mac Jones, Jalen Hurts, Kyler Murray, Derek Carr and Joe Burrow, but I can’t pick against Burrow AND Carr, because they’re playing each other.
So will I pick against four of those five or none of those five? Let’s get to the picks and find out.
Actually, before we get to the picks, here’s a quick reminder that you can check out the…